Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.058761 0.066646 0.074715 0.083558 0.092948 0.102592 0.113219
2025-08-31 0.043972 0.055223 0.067336 0.081204 0.096510 0.112771 0.131239
2025-09-07 0.036141 0.049490 0.064468 0.082196 0.102315 0.124185 0.149517
2025-09-14 0.030868 0.045697 0.062946 0.083928 0.108265 0.135186 0.166823
2025-09-21 0.027690 0.043862 0.063254 0.087365 0.115810 0.147690 0.185557
2025-09-28 0.024005 0.040915 0.061847 0.088456 0.120370 0.156587 0.200036
2025-10-05 0.023633 0.042117 0.065434 0.095451 0.131788 0.173307 0.223386
2025-10-12 0.020003 0.038578 0.062790 0.094624 0.133745 0.178939 0.233918
2025-10-19 0.017850 0.036834 0.062259 0.096257 0.138527 0.187770 0.248059
2025-10-26 0.015528 0.034587 0.060883 0.096678 0.141725 0.194649 0.259863
2025-11-02 0.013890 0.033175 0.060496 0.098258 0.146262 0.203057 0.273408
2025-11-09 0.011996 0.031142 0.059109 0.098427 0.148962 0.209204 0.284242
2025-11-16 0.009305 0.027537 0.055420 0.095589 0.148017 0.211164 0.290416
2025-11-23 0.007120 0.024424 0.052218 0.093255 0.147624 0.213757 0.297347
2025-11-30 0.006028 0.023138 0.051607 0.094354 0.151557 0.221588 0.310514
2025-12-07 0.005233 0.022296 0.051595 0.096225 0.156452 0.230580 0.325065
2025-12-14 0.004876 0.022320 0.052905 0.099928 0.163723 0.242506 0.343161
2025-12-21 0.004107 0.021282 0.052456 0.101103 0.167657 0.250283 0.356238
2025-12-28 0.004478 0.022971 0.056445 0.108622 0.179960 0.268487 0.381978
2026-01-04 0.003471 0.021137 0.054596 0.107734 0.181140 0.272820 0.390876
2026-01-11 0.002976 0.020465 0.054609 0.109487 0.185790 0.281470 0.405014
2026-01-18 0.002377 0.019332 0.053764 0.109939 0.188676 0.287886 0.416416
2026-01-25 0.001998 0.018730 0.053784 0.111635 0.193207 0.296363 0.430332